Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MKR prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-11-30 1200.689156 1356.983718 1528.471224 1731.007616 1964.207905 2224.916071 2539.310372
2025-12-07 929.532611 1132.299407 1374.288747 1686.093753 2079.674110 2563.203123 3207.183627
2025-12-14 775.580587 992.371230 1265.884254 1639.553548 2141.799987 2800.630388 3742.048598
2025-12-21 663.681267 882.618918 1171.237524 1584.434802 2168.760832 2977.545793 4202.850889
2025-12-28 614.661101 846.337835 1164.125800 1638.965903 2342.723334 3366.891743 5006.733820
2026-01-04 566.101235 803.284197 1140.059716 1662.519438 2469.710668 3698.277759 5766.375441
2026-01-11 522.393052 761.390354 1111.385416 1673.036372 2574.171703 4003.288123 6523.228622
2026-01-18 484.584980 723.705557 1083.893655 1680.166033 2670.914201 4303.672255 7311.551085
2026-01-25 459.977175 703.232223 1079.747958 1722.168871 2826.759157 4717.386830 8355.498342
2026-02-01 435.536462 680.373424 1068.973568 1750.896830 2961.569885 5109.109476 9416.695119
2026-02-08 411.247207 655.336710 1051.861819 1766.132917 3072.886887 5470.350672 10473.174498
2026-02-15 390.162560 633.577696 1037.848204 1784.523554 3190.612129 5856.012912 11637.110050
2026-02-22 372.435823 616.534216 1031.208624 1817.060450 3341.828494 6332.270985 13087.179839
2026-03-01 343.521474 577.949479 983.868508 1770.108397 3335.050360 6495.352129 13889.540611
2026-03-08 317.321626 541.986760 938.000054 1720.938638 3317.282458 6631.723958 14651.909899
2026-03-15 292.430483 506.456664 889.973403 1662.742862 3274.063250 6707.657580 15283.954417
2026-03-22 285.380738 502.762953 900.275822 1720.318920 3478.614049 7349.385210 17412.863447
2026-03-29 274.604939 491.272597 894.796474 1745.191709 3615.564209 7857.914951 19304.018693
2026-04-05 262.993020 477.297962 883.315020 1756.298479 3723.076501 8312.562437 21142.964454
2026-04-12 251.853702 463.392195 870.796286 1763.828272 3823.089092 8762.888626 23061.696065
2026-04-19 245.444114 458.209570 875.179592 1808.192781 4013.945662 9465.078480 25852.463186
2026-04-26 237.952897 450.315007 873.362301 1838.540267 4174.900903 10115.149501 28634.616236
2026-05-03 229.542315 439.961486 865.613385 1854.636664 4302.781851 10697.536635 31340.904604